Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Prediction, H2H and Bets - March 16, 2025
Game Prediction
The Indian Wells final is scheduled for March 16, with Holger Rune facing off against Jack Draper. Our experts have prepared their betting take on this event.
Holger Rune
The strong Danish tennis player hasn't had the best season so far, with a stretch before this tournament where he lost three out of four matches. However, Rune has shown the best version of himself at Indian Wells, allowing him to reach the final.
He started with a confident victory over Frenchman Moutet – 6:2, 6:4, then struggled past another French player, Humbert – 5:7, 6:4, 7:5. This was followed by a win over Stefanos Tsitsipas - 6:4, 6:4. In the quarter-finals, he managed to overcome Dutchman Griekspoor – 5:7, 6:0, 6:3. Rune was the underdog in the semi-final against Medvedev but won 7:5, 6:4. The athlete is 21 years old and is ranked 13th in the world.
Jack Draper
The British tennis player has not played much this season but has shown solid results. He reached the fourth round of the Australian Open, where he withdrew against Alcaraz after trailing 0:2 in sets. Draper's next tournament was in Doha, where he reached the final, losing in three sets to Andrey Rublev.
At Indian Wells, before the semi-final, he did not drop a single set, progressing past Francuek, Brooksby, Fritz, and Shelton. In the semi-final, he sensationally defeated the mentioned Alcaraz – 6:1, 0:6, 6:4. The Brit is currently 23 years old and the 14th ranked player in the world.
Match Facts
- Rune has 11 wins in 17 matches this season.
- Draper has won 12 of 14 matches this season.
- The betting odds for the match are: P1 – 2.54, P2 – 1.56
Head-to-Head
The teams have played each other only once, which was last year at the Cincinnati tournament, where Rune won in two sets – 6:4, 6:2.
Match Prediction
Few expected to see this pair of finalists, as neither player is in the top 20. Bookmakers give a slight edge to the British tennis player, but the battle in this final will be interesting. I find the bet on a total over 22.5 games to be reasonable.