Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso predictions and betting tips on March 24, 2025
Game Prediction
After losing to Sierra Leone on Matchday 5 of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Guinea-Bissau, ranked 4th in Group A, host Burkina Faso, ranked 2nd. The Bissau-Guineans will be counting on the support of 24 September National Stadium to keep up with Burkina Faso, who are back in the race for first place, 5 points behind group leader Egypt. Kick-off at 4pm GMT.
Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso Key stats and trends
Burkina Faso won all 3 matches against Guinea-Bissau
Guinea Bissau won none of their 5 previous games, losing 3 and drawing 2
Guinea Bissau have drawn 3 of their last home games, winning 1 and losing 1
Burkina Faso scored an average of 2.2 in this qualifying campaign
Burkina Faso lost 3 of 5 away games, with one draw and one win.
Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina recent form
Guinea Bissau have not tasted victory in 5 matches. They will not be taking part in the Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco. The Djurtus failed to qualify from Group I, which was dominated by Mali and Mozambique. Eliminated in the group stages in Côte d'Ivoire, the Djurtus had already made 4 successive appearances since 2017. In the World Cup qualifiers, the team is 4th behind Sierra in Group A.
Burkina Faso has been one of Africa's most successful soccer nations over the last 10 years. The Burkina-Faso national team will play its 14th CAF TotalEnergies Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco. As in previous editions, the Stallions will be going into this competition with lofty goals, having been finalists in 2013 and semi-finalists in 1998, 2017 and 2021. In this qualifying campaign for the 2026 World Cup, Burkina Faso are 2nd, 5 points behind leaders Egypt. Bertrand Traoré's team-mates have scored 11 goals in 5 matches and conceded 6.
Form
Guinea-Bissau: L D D L L
Burkina Faso: W W L L W
Injury and team news
Burkina Faso are missing two key players for this match. Edmond Tapsoba, a defensive stalwart, and Sacha Bansé, another key midfielder, are out with injuries. On the other hand, a number of new talents have been called up for the first time. Mohamed Zougrana, a midfielder from MC Alger, made his debut last Friday against Djibouti and scored his first goal.
Guinea-Bissau have four new players in their squad. Coach Luís Boa Morte has called up left-back Babacar Fáti, 25, formerly of Portuguese champions Sporting Lisbon and now based in Finland. Mario Junior, 21, is a central defender with Oliveirense in Portugal's second division. There are midfielder Vando Felix, 22, from Vitória Guimarães and striker Tamble Monteiro, 24, from Portimonense (Portugal). Augusto Dabo and Bura Nogueira also return to the squad.
Predicted line-ups
Guinea-Bissau possible line-up: Balde-Fati-Rofino-Sambinha-Encada-Jardel- Mane-Semedo-Felix-Beto-Monteiro
Burkina Faso possible line-up: Koffi-Yago-Dayo-Nagalo-Issa-Badolo-Jodué-Zoungrana-Bertrand-Lassina-Dango
Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina pre-game, odds and win probability
The win percentages in this match are almost equally balanced. This means that the probability of a draw is high at 35% for an odd of 2.72. A Burkina Faso victory is 33% likely at an odd of 2.86. Finally, Guinea Bissau, who will be at home, see their chances increase. A win for the hosts is priced at 2.96 at 32%.
Correct score prediction: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Burkina Faso
Guinea-Bissau are in a results crisis. Luis Boa Morte's team have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 3 goals. Opposite them is a Burkina Faso team with a confident attack. We see the Stallions winning this match.
Players to watch: Monteiro et Bertrand
Monteiro saved the team's honor in the latest 1-3 loss to Sierra Leone. He is also performing well at club level, with 5 goals and 1 assist.
On Friday, Bertrand Traoré joined the Burkina Faso national team's top 3 scorers with 21 goals. His return to Ajax was a real wake-up call for the Stallions captain, who had previously struggled with injuries. The former Aston Villa, Lyon and Chelsea player has scored 11 times and provided 7 assists in all competitions this season.
Expert tip: Burkina Faso to win and both teams to score “no”.
Guinea Bissau have an attack that doesn't score many goals. We see them losing this match without finding the net against the 3rd best defense in Group A (6 goals conceded in 5 games). This way of looking at things is worth 1.72 at 54%.
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