Germany vs Italy prediction and betting tips on March 23, 2025

Game Prediction

A return match between the national teams of Germany and Italy will be held in the quarter-finals of the Nations League on March 23, 2025. A draw will be enough for the Germans, but the audience is unlikely to understand this.
Our prediction for the match Germany vs Italy
The Germans, to tell the truth, were frightening with their play. Flick was forgiven for the early misfire at the World Cup, where one of the favourites in Qatar did not show anything special. Still, then the specialist was fired due to dismal results in friendly matches. And Nagelsmann was able to change the team in less than a year and prepare it so that only the representative of Spain stopped it at the Euro in extra time. The Italians were not particularly helped by Mancini’s flight and the appearance of Spalletti as coach. They qualified for the championship directly, although they had got the same number of points in the qualification as Ukraine. Speaking about the tournament itself, the team, having narrowly beaten Albania and lost to Spain, advanced to the play-offs due to the fact that it snatched a draw in the struggle with the Croatians just before the final whistle. One way or another, the team did not cope with Switzerland – 0-2.
Both teams could have won their groups in the Nations League. Julian’s wards did that, having taken 14 points – they failed to win only in the Netherlands and, if we speak about the last round, in Hungary. The Italians started with a victory in France. Still, then there was only a draw in the struggle with the Belgians, so the fate was decided in the last round. There, a home draw would have been enough, but they lost to Deschamps’s footballers. Hosting the Germans there, they quickly opened the score, but Kimmich responded to Tonali’s goal with a couple of his own assists, ensuring a strong-willed 2-1 result.
Musiala and the company score 2.4 goals per match. And, they, even without the departed goalkeeper, Neuer, and the injured ter Stegen, concede 0.8 goals in response. The guests have got a much more modest ratio – 1.5/1.4.
Germany vs Italy: key statistics and trends
- Germany has won 5 of 7 previous matches.
- 60% of the team’s games have ended with “both teams to score: yes” and the average number of goals per meeting is 3.2.
- Italy has won 2 of 5 previous battles.
- 70% of the national team’s confrontations have brought “both teams to score: yes” and the average number of goals per struggle is 2.9.
Germany vs Italy: possible starting line-ups
Germany (possible line-up): Baumann – Schlotterbeck, Rudiger, Tah, Kimmich – Goretzka, Gross, Musiala, Amiri, Sane – Kleindienst.
Italy (possible line-up): Donnarumma – Calafiori, Bastoni, Di Lorenzo – Udogie, Tonali, Rovella, Barella, Politano – Raspadori, Keane.
Previous head-to-head matches: Germany vs Italy
The Germans came into this play-off having not lost to their old rivals in 6 meetings in a row.
Free prediction for the match Germany vs Italy
The Germans were stronger on the away field, and nothing will change at the native arena – they will win again (odd: 1.75).
