FC Porto vs Nacional prediction and betting tips on May 17, 2025

Game Prediction

Porto host Nacional this May 17 at Estádio do Dragão for the closing game of the Primeira Liga Portugal regular season. Porto are aiming to maintain their 3rd place in the League Europa qualification table. Nacional have nothing left to play for.
Porto vs Nacional key stats and trends
- FC Porto have won 9 of their last 10 matches
- Porto have won 70% of their last 10 home matches
- Porto have won 4 and drawn 4 of their last 10 home matches
- Porto score 2 goals and concede 1 on average
- CD Nacional have not won in 4 matches (2L 2D)
- Nacional concede 1.4 goals and score 1 per match
Porto vs Nacional recent form
Porto have been no match for the Sporting-Benfica duo in the title race this season. 3rd on 68 points, the 30-time champions are 11 points behind them. The Dragões have lost 7 of their 33 games. They'll have to make do with the League Europa next season.
Their opponents are CD Nacional. Os Alvinegros have nothing to worry about in this final match. 14th in the table, the Madeira club have 34 points, 7 behind the relegation play-off spot. Tiago Margarido's men are winless in 4 matches, with 2 draws and the same number of defeats.
Form
Injury and team news
Porto have been no match for the Sporting-Benfica duo in the title race this season. 3rd on 68 points, the 30-time champions are 11 points behind them. The Dragões have lost 7 of their 33 games. They'll have to make do with the League Europa next season.
Their opponents are CD Nacional. Os Alvinegros have nothing to worry about in this final match. 14th in the table, the Madeira club have 34 points, 7 behind the relegation play-off spot. Tiago Margarido's men are winless in 4 matches, with 2 draws and the same number of defeats.
Predicted line-ups
- Porto probable line-up: Costa, Maracano-Perez-Pedro, Moura-Eustaquio-Valera-Mario,Mora-Samuel-Vieira
- Nacional probable line-up: Franca, Aurelio-Santos-Djibril-Vitor, Penha-Yamada, Appiah-Labidi-Boia, Joel
Porto vs Nacional pre-game odds and win probablity
72% is the probability of Porto winning. It costs 1.32. The odds are very slim for CD Nacional: 10% at a cost of 9.2. A draw is expected at 18% at a cost of 5.35.
Correct score prediction: Porto 2-0 Nacional
This fixture has often been spectacular. The stakes are lower this time. CD Nacional score little against Porto.
Players to watch: Samuel and Daniel
Samuel Aghehowa is in fine form. The 21-year-old forward has scored 18 times in 29 Primeira Liga games. The Spaniard also provided Daniel Penha with 3 assists and is CD Nacional's most decisive player this season, with 4 goals and one assist. The Brazilian midfielder has not scored in 7 games. He will be keen to finish on a high note.
Expert tip: Porto to win and both teams to score "no"
Odds are 52% & 1,80.
Learn more about the Premeira Liga Portugal table and place your bet on the upcoming match.
