FC Porto vs Benfica prediction and betting tips on April 6, 2025
Primeira Liga Portugal
Game Prediction
This Sunday, April 6, 2025, at 19:30 GMT, the Estádio do Dragão will be buzzing as FC Porto and SL Benfica face off in a Clássico that will decide the race for the Primeira Liga title.
FC Porto vs Benfica Key stats and trends
In 10 matches, FC Porto has 5 wins, Benfica 4 and 1 draw.
An impressive average of 3 goals in the last 5 matches
FC Porto has gone 5 games without a home defeat
Porto scored 1.9 goals per game in Primeira Liga, conceding less than 1.
Benfica scored 65 goals and conceded 22 in 27 games
The Lisbon club lost only 4 times in the same period.
FC Porto vs Benfica recent form
FC Porto is a little off the pace, 3rd with 56 points, 9 of which are behind the top two. Porto were eliminated in the round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League. The Portgual 2021 and 2023 champions have fallen behind, losing 5 times this season. This Classico offers a huge opportunity to catch up.
Benfica are neck-and-neck with Sporting who want to retain their title. Angel Di Maria's team-mates have no room for error. Also eliminated in the last 8 of the LDC in a spectacular double-header with FC Barcelona, Benfica have 56 points, as many as the leaders but on goal difference.
Form
FC Porto: D W L W W
Benfica: W L W W W
Injury and team news
Benfica has a number of players unavailable for this match. The midfielder Vasco Sousa is sidelined due to a broken fibula. Marko Grujićr is dealing with a heel injury and is expected to miss the match
In the Benfica ranks, Alexander Bah and Manu Silva are injured and will miss the classico. Other players are uncertain, but the coach has a consistent core to build a competitive team.
Predicted line-ups
FC Porto possible line-up: Diogo-Pepe-Pérez-Stephen-Marcano-Moura-Mario-Vaalera-Fabio-Pepe-Mora-Samuel
Benfica possible line-up: Trubin-Dahl-Silva-Otamendi-Alvaro-Renato-Orkun-Fredrick-Di Maria-Kerem-Pavlidis
FC Porto vs Benfica pre-game odds and win probability
Benfica's momentum is very good. The Eagles have a 39% chance of victory at 2.46. The home team has a 32% chance of winning at 2.97. The draw, which has only happened once in 10 matches, is estimated at 2.24 and 29% probable.
Correct score prediction: FC Porto 2-2 Benfica
Wide scores have been the result of recent clashes between these two giants of Portuguese soccer. Benfica are in good form. But FC Porto should hold their own in front of their home fans.
Players to watch: Samuel and Kerem
Samuel Aghehoha is FC Porto's top scorer this season, with a staggering 21 goals and 3 assists in all competitions. He's one to watch out for in this clash.
In the visitors' camp, several men stand out from the crowd. Among them, Keem Akturkoglu. The versatile midfielder has scored 16 goals and provided 10 assists in all competitions. The danger can come from him.
Expert tip: double chance for Benfica
Benfica Lisbon are playing a kind of final in this match. Losing is out of the question, as it would mean letting the Sporting escape. We see them winning or, at worst, losing. The odds are 1.4 at 68%.
Check your team in the Primeira Liga standings and place a bet.