Estonia vs Sweden prediction and betting tips on October 14, 2024
Game Prediction
On October 14, 2024, Estonia will host Sweden in the 4th round of the UEFA Nations League. After a tough outing in their previous match, the hosts are unlikely to put up much of a fight against one of the group’s favorites.
Key Stats and Trends for Estonia vs Sweden
- Estonia has lost their last two matches in September.
- Sweden has won two of their last three games.
- Estonia has conceded in each of their last 19 matches.
- Estonia leads at halftime in 8% of their games, while Sweden leads in 20%.
Match Preview: Estonia vs Sweden
The "Blue Shirts" failed once again in last year's qualifiers, managing only one point across eight matches. However, they redeemed themselves somewhat by winning the regional Baltic Cup over the summer, though it took a penalty shootout to defeat Lithuania in the final. Meanwhile, expectations were higher for Sweden, who were playoff contenders at the last Euros. However, they only managed to gather 10 points in qualifying, which was less than half of what Austria and Belgium collected.
Since then, Sweden has been under the guidance of Jon Dahl Tomasson. The Danish coach had a rocky start in friendly matches, but his team has been flawless in the Nations League, netting three goals against both Azerbaijan and Estonia. The Estonians, for their part, narrowly lost to another group favorite, Slovakia.
Sweden will be without Isak, Cajuste, and Svanberg for this round, and they have once again left out players like Claesson, Quaison, Thelin, Larsson Jr., Holm, and Ekdal. On Friday, in a clash of leaders against Slovakia, they ended in a 2-2 draw, squandering a two-goal advantage. Estonia, aside from missing veterans like Klavan and Vassiljev who have retired, and the injured Lepik, also chose not to call up Sappinen, Kurasakin, Baranov, and Kallaste. Despite these absences, they managed to secure a confident 3-1 win over Azerbaijan, though they lost Paskotsi to injury in the first half.
Possible Starting Lineups
Estonia (possible lineup): Hein – Shunning-Larsen, Mets, Tamm, Peetson – Käit, Ainsalu, Sinyavskiy, Shein, Yakovlev – Anier
Sweden (possible lineup): Johansson – Gudmundsson, Hien, Douglas – Sema, Kulusevski, Saletros, Ayari, Eliasson – Nilsson, Gyökeres
Head to Head: Estonia vs Sweden
There have been 12 previous meetings, and Estonia has only managed to draw twice against Sweden.
Free Prediction for Estonia vs Sweden
Sweden remains significantly stronger than their Baltic neighbors and should win comfortably on the road with a "-1.5 goal" handicap (odds – 1.615).