Ecuador vs Peru prediction and betting tips on September 11, 2024
Game Prediction
On September 11, 2024, in the 8th round of South American World Cup qualifiers, Ecuador will host Peru. Valencia and his team, facing one of the group’s underdogs, will be looking for nothing less than a victory.
Ecuador vs Peru: Key Statistics and Trends
- Ecuador has lost only two out of their last seven matches in regular time.
- Peru has suffered defeat twice in their last three games.
- The most common scoreline between the teams is 2-1 in favor of Peru (four times).
- Ecuador wins the first half in 40% of matches, while Peru does so in 30%.
Our prediction for the match Ecuador vs Peru
Ecuador managed to participate in the World Cup despite a controversy over fielding a player who was naturalized using forged documents. The punishment came after their trip to Qatar (where they failed to progress from the group stage) in the form of a three-point deduction at the start of the current qualification campaign. Under coach Félix Sánchez Bas, they have managed to recover, winning three of their six matches with just one loss. On the other hand, Peru, who played in the 2018 World Cup but was eliminated by Australia in the intercontinental playoff of the following cycle, has had a disastrous start this time around, sitting at the bottom of the table with just two points from six matches.
Jorge Fossati has been working in Lima since the beginning of the year. While they had some success in friendly matches (mostly against weaker opponents), their Copa América campaign was a disaster: no goals and a goalless draw with Chile, along with two "clean sheet" losses. Valencia and his team started that tournament with a loss to Venezuela but then bounced back with a win over Jamaica and a 0-0 draw against Mexico to advance to the playoffs. The underdogs fought bravely against Argentina, drawing 1-1 in the playoffs but losing on penalties.
In this international break, Peru began by hosting Colombia. They took the lead through Callens but ended up drawing 1-1. Ecuador, meanwhile, traveled to Brazil and narrowly lost 0-1 to the favorites.
Ecuador vs Peru: Possible Starting Lineups
Ecuador (predicted lineup): Galíndez – Hincapié, Pacho, Torres – Estupiñán, Sarmiento, Méndez, Caicedo, Franco – Valencia, Rodríguez
Peru (predicted lineup): Gallese – Callens, Zambrano, Araujo – López, Peña, Tapia, Cartagena, Advíncula – Lapadula, Valera
Head to Head matches: Ecuador vs Peru
The last two meetings in 2021 and 2022 ended in high-scoring draws: 1-1 and 2-2.
Free prediction today for the match: Ecuador vs Peru
The clearly stronger side will host the underdogs. It’s advisable to go for a handicap of "-1 goal" for the home team (odds – 1.69).