Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini preview and betting tips – May 17, 2025
Game Prediction
The final of the women's tennis tournament will take place on May 17, featuring Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini in the decisive match. Our experts have prepared their take on betting for this clash.
Coco Gauff
The American athlete needs no introduction; she is currently ranked third in the world and will move up to second place after the Rome tournament. Gauff did not achieve significant success on hard courts this season, but she has performed better on clay, reaching her second consecutive final—she lost the decisive battle in Madrid to Aryna Sabalenka.
Here, the 21-year-old American overcame Victoria Mboko – 3:6, 6:2, 6:1, Magda Linette – 7:5, 6:3, Emma Raducanu – 6:1, 6:2, and Mirra Andreeva – 6:4, 7:6. She had to show real character in the semifinal against the strong Zheng – 7:6, 4:6, 7:6, coming back from 3:5 down in the deciding set.
Jasmine Paolini
The Italian player has yet to claim a title this season; her best results have been in Miami and Stuttgart, where she reached the semifinals, losing to Aryna Sabalenka on both occasions. Paolini holds a high fifth position in the world rankings and is eager to win a tournament on home soil.
Here, she defeated Lulu Sun – 6:4, 6:3, Ons Jabeur – 6:4, 6:3, and Jelena Ostapenko. The Italian was close to elimination in the quarterfinals, losing the first set in a tiebreak against Diana Shnaider and trailing 0:4 in the second set; Paolini turned the match around to win 6:7, 6:4, 6:2. In the semifinals, she beat American Peyton Stearns – 7:5, 6:1.
Match facts
- Gauff has won 11 out of 13 clay matches this season.
- Paolini has 9 wins in 11 clay matches.
- Bookmakers offer the following odds for this matchup: W1 – 1.48, W2 – 2.8.
Head-to-head
In their direct encounters, Gauff leads 2:1, but Paolini won their only meeting on clay, which took place a month ago in Stuttgart.
Match prediction
The American is considered the favorite in this final, but Paolini also has her advantages: she won their most recent head-to-head and will be playing with home crowd support. The battle for the title promises to be interesting, and the bet on total games over 20.5 looks appealing here.