Cerezo Osaka vs. Gamba Osaka prediction and betting tips for July 5, 2025
J. League Japan
Game Prediction
The 23rd matchday of the J League Japan features a thrilling matchup. It's the Osaka derby between Cerezo and Gamba. This rivalry between both from Japan's third-largest city will take place this July 5 at 10 GMT at Nagai Stadium. Stuck in the middle of the table, both challengers are aiming for the top spots.
Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka Key stats and trends
- Cerezo Osaka has won 6 of its last 10 matches, including 2 draws
- 4 of its last 5 matches have ended 1-0
- Cerezo Osaka has won 60% of its last 10 matches
- Cerezo Osaka has won its last 6 home matches
- Cerezo Osaka scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.3 on average
- Gamba Osaka has not won in 5 away matches
- Gamba Osaka concedes 1.4 goals and scores 1.2 on average
Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka recent
Cerezo Osaka last promoted to the Japanese top division in 2016. They returned in 2017 with high ambitions. On November 4, 2017, they won the League Cup, Cerezo Osaka's first major title. The final was won 2-0 against Kawasaki Frontale. The same season on January 1, 2018, Cerezo Osaka won the Emperor's Cup against Yokohama F. Marinos (2-1). On February 10, 2018, they won the 2018 Japanese Super Cup against Kawasaki Frontale (3-2 victory). In 2021, the club reached the final of the Japanese League Cup but was defeated 2-0 by Nagoya Grampus[11], the following year Cerezo lost the League Cup final again, but this time against Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2-1 defeat). 9th in 2023, 10th in 2024, Cerezo Osaka had a convincing halfway point in J. League Japan 2025. After 22 days played, Cerezo Osaka has 33 points thanks to which it is currently 9th in the standings. Sakura performs very well at home, where they have not lost in six matches. The team has the third-best attack in the J. League Japan, with 34 goals in 24 matches.
Opposite them is their long-time rival, Gamba Osaka. Gamba Osaka won the Japanese championship twice, in 2005 and 2014. They finished runners-up the following year and again in 2020. Last year, Gamba Osaka reached the Japanese Cup final. This 2025 season has started well for the club based in Suita, Osaka Prefecture. However, they have been experiencing some disappointing results recently. The Panasonic Stadium Suita team ended a six-match winless streak on June 18th with a 2-1 victory over Veertien Mie in the Emperors Cup. They followed that up with another 2-0 victory against FC Tokyo before falling 1-3 to Kyoto Sanga FC last week. Gamba Osaka have won eight times this season, drawn four, and lost as many as ten times, all in 22 matches. These performances have left them stagnating in 12th place with 28 points.
Form
Cerezo Osaka: W L W D W
Gamba Osaka: L D W W L
Predicted line-ups
Cerezo Osaka probable line-up: Koki, Okuda-Nishio-Hatanaka-Noborizato, Kida-Kagawa, Fernandes-Vitor-Andrade, Ratao
Gamba Osaka probable line-up: Jun, Kurokawa-Fukuoka-Nakatani-Handa, Mitsuta-Suzuki-Abe-Welton, Deniz-Usami
Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka pre-game odds and win probability
This match is a derby that sometimes requires players to outdo. Bookmakers are giving a slight chance (43% at a price of 2.2) to Cerezo Osaka, who will be at home and won the first leg 5-2 away. A draw is the lowest probability: 26% at a price of 3.61. The away team has a 30% chance of winning at odds of 3.15.
Correct score prediction: Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Gamba Osaka
The first leg was a spectacular 5-2 win for Cerezo Osaka. This time, they will be at home. They have the third-best attack in the J. League Japan after 22 matches. We see them winning 2-1.
Expert tip: Cerezo Osaka to win and over 2.5
Based on the above, we recommend betting on a total of over 2.5 goals. Bookmakers predict this at 55% at odds of 1.73.
Learn more about your teams in the J. League Japan table and place your bet on the upcoming match.