Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction and Betting Tips - May 16, 2025
Game Prediction
On May 16, Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti will face off at the tournament in Rome. Our experts have prepared their prediction for this matchup.
Carlos Alcaraz
The star Spanish tennis player has won two tournaments this season, Rotterdam and Monte Carlo, but overall, it cannot yet be called a truly successful season. Alcaraz has found his confidence on clay, securing 13 wins in 14 matches on this surface, with a title in Monte Carlo, a runner-up finish in Barcelona, and now he is just one step away from the final in Rome.
At this tournament, he has defeated the following opponents: Dusan Lajovic – 6:3, 6:3, Laslo Djere – 7:6, 6:2, Karen Khachanov – 6:3, 3:6, 7:5, Jack Draper – 6:4, 6:4. Alcaraz is currently ranked third in the world, but next week he will move up to second place, behind only Sinner.
Lorenzo Musetti
The Italian began this season ranked 17th, and now he is already ninth; by the end of this tournament, he will rise to at least seventh place. He achieves his best results on clay: a final in Monte Carlo, a semifinal in Madrid, and currently a semifinal at his home tournament in Rome.
Musetti has played 16 matches on clay this season, winning 14 of them. In this tournament, he has defeated the following players: Otto Virtanen – 6:3, 6:2, Brandon Nakashima – 6:4, 6:3, Daniil Medvedev – 7:5, 6:4, Alexander Zverev – 7:6, 6:4. As his results show, the Italian is in excellent form and is capable of challenging any opponent.
Head-to-head
Alcaraz leads their personal encounters 5:1, and on clay, the Spanish player leads 3:1. Their last meeting took place about a month ago in the final in Monte Carlo, where Musetti lost – 6:3, 1:6, 0:6.
Match prediction
On paper, the Spaniard is a clear favorite; he is ranked higher and has a head-to-head advantage. Musetti will be supported by the Italian crowd and will surely try to show his best game. It is important to note that both athletes are from the top 10. We expect a tough match and recommend betting on a total of over 20.5 games.