Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur prediction and betting tips on February 9, 2025
Game Prediction
On February 9, the final of the prestigious men's tennis tournament in Rotterdam will take place, featuring a clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur. Here’s our betting preview for the match.
Carlos Alcaraz
The Spanish star needs no introduction. At just 21 years old, he has already won four Grand Slam titles and reached the world No. 1 ranking. Currently ranked third, Alcaraz made it to the quarterfinals of the season's first major, where he fell to the legendary Novak Djokovic.
In Rotterdam, the Spaniard is the top seed and the main title contender. His path to the final included victories over Botic van de Zandschulp (7-6, 3-6, 6-1), Andrea Vavassori (6-2, 6-1), and Pedro Martinez (6-2, 6-1). The toughest challenge came in the semifinals against Poland’s Hubert Hurkacz, where Alcaraz prevailed 6-4, 6-7, 6-3.
Alex de Minaur
The Australian is well known to tennis fans. At 25, he holds the world No. 8 ranking. While he has yet to win a Grand Slam, he reached the quarterfinals of this year's first major, where he was comprehensively beaten by eventual champion Jannik Sinner (3-6, 2-6, 1-6).
De Minaur has been ruthless in Rotterdam, not dropping a single set despite facing solid mid-level opponents. He defeated David Goffin (6-2, 6-4), Jakub Mensik (6-4, 6-4), and Daniel Altmaier (6-1, 6-4). In the semifinals, Italian Mattia Bellucci provided little resistance, with De Minaur cruising to a 6-1, 6-2 win.
Match facts
- Alcaraz has won 8 of his 9 matches this season.
- De Minaur has won 11 of his 12 matches this season.
- Betting odds: Alcaraz – 1.33 | De Minaur – 3.55.
Head-to-head
Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 2-0, though both of their previous meetings were on clay and grass—this will be their first encounter on a hard court.
Prediction
It’s no surprise that Alcaraz is the favorite. He is higher in the rankings, has an edge in their past encounters, and is generally considered the stronger player. We expect the Spaniard to control the match and secure a comfortable victory, so we’re backing him to win with a -3.5 game handicap.