Botafogo vs São Paulo Prediction and Betting Tips on April 16, 2025
Game Prediction
Botafogo will host São Paulo at the Estádio Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro on April 16, 2025, for a Brazilian Série A clash kicking off at 21:30 UTC. The home side is looking to rebound after a shaky start to the season, while São Paulo aims to build momentum under coach Luis Zubeldía.
Botafogo vs São Paulo Key Stats & Trends
- Botafogo have won 2 of their last 5 games.
- The Alvinegro average 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
- Botafogo have won 2 of their last 5 home games in the league.
- São Paulo have won 1 of their last 5 league games.
- The Tricolor Paulista average 0.8 goal scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
- São Paulo have won 40% of their last 5 away games.
Botafogo vs São Paulo Recent Form
Botafogo are under scrutiny after a mixed start to the 2025 Série A campaign. Sitting in 10th place with 4 points from 3 games, the Alvinegro have struggled for consistency under new manager Renato Paiva. Their recent 1-0 loss to Bragatino exposed defensive vulnerabilities, increasing pressure to deliver at home. A victory against São Paulo could stabilize their season and boost confidence among fans still celebrating last year’s Copa Libertadores triumph.
São Paulo, meanwhile, are languishing in 15th with 3 points from 3 games. A 1-1 draw against Cruziro last week highlighted their ongoing attacking woes, with fans growing frustrated at Zubeldía’s pragmatic approach. Despite their lower position, the Tricolor are only 3 points off the top four, and a win in Rio could spark a turnaround as they aim for a Copa Libertadores spot next season.
Form
- Botafogo: D-L-W-W-L
- São Paulo: D-W-D-D-D
Head-to-Head
In their last five encounters, four ended in a draw, while Botafogo won once.
Predicted Line-ups
- Botafogo possible line-up: John Victor, Mateo Ponte, Bastos, Alexander Barboza, Cuiabano, Gregore, Tchê Tchê, Thiago Almada, Jefferson Savarino, Luiz Henrique, Igor Jesus
- São Paulo possible line-up: Rafael, Rafinha, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Welington, Luiz Gustavo, Damian Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Luciano Neves, Wellington Rato, Jonathan Calleri
Botafogo vs São Paulo Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Bookmakers lean toward Botafogo, pricing their win at 1.89 with a 50% chance of victory. A draw is offered at 3.4, while a São Paulo win stands at 4.4, reflecting a 22% probability.
Correct Score Prediction: Botafogo 1-0 São Paulo
Given both teams’ struggles to score freely, a low-scoring affair is likely. Botafogo’s home form and defensive solidity give them a slight edge, but São Paulo’s resilience could keep it close. A single goal may decide the outcome.
Expert Tip: Botafogo to Win & BTTS ‘No’
Botafogo’s home record and São Paulo’s blunt attack point to a narrow victory for the hosts, with the Both Teams To Score ‘No’ option available at excellent odds of 1.66 (56% probability).
Follow our expert tip and check out the Serie A standings.