Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona prediction and betting tips on December 11, 2024
Game Prediction
On December 11, 2024, in the 6th round of the UEFA Champions League group stage, Borussia Dortmund will host Barcelona. Both teams have solid arguments to back their claims in this matchup.
Our Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona
Borussia Dortmund had a strong run in the Champions League last season, reaching the final, although they were defeated by Real Madrid in the decisive match. However, this did not fully compensate for their decline in the Bundesliga. In 2023, they managed to finish level with Bayern Munich, but by spring, under Edin Terzic, they had dropped to fifth place. As a result, both Terzic and several veterans left the club during the summer. Meanwhile, in Barcelona, Xavi was dismissed after failing to retain the La Liga title and suffering an epic elimination from the Champions League by PSG, despite having won the first leg in Paris.
This season, Borussia Dortmund appointed Nuri Sahin as their new head coach, returning to his former club. Dortmund struggles to collect points away from home in the Bundesliga but remains nearly unbeaten at home. In the Champions League, they almost took revenge on Real Madrid, but after a 2-0 lead in Madrid, they faltered. Nonetheless, they won all their other group-stage matches against Club Brugge, Celtic, Sturm Graz, and Dinamo Zagreb.
Barcelona, under Hansi Flick, appeared to have a dominant start after a 4-0 victory in El Clásico against Real Madrid, but their form collapsed in a disastrous series of results starting in November. They also stumbled in the Champions League early on, losing to Monaco after being reduced to 10 men. However, they bounced back, winning all subsequent matches, including a 4-0 victory over Bayern Munich, and defeated teams like Young Boys, Red Star Belgrade, and Brest.
Key Stats and Trends
- Borussia Dortmund has won four of their last five matches.
- Barcelona has won four consecutive matches in the Champions League.
- Borussia Dortmund scores 38% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
- Barcelona scores 28% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
- Borussia Dortmund has scored in each of their last seven matches.
- Borussia Dortmund wins the first half in 47% of matches, while Barcelona wins it 50% of the time.
Possible Starting Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (Possible lineup): Kobel – Bensebaini, Schlotterbeck, Anton, Groß – Brandt, Moukoko, Sabitzer – Haller, Bellingham, Malen
Barcelona (Possible lineup): Peña – Martin, Martínez, Koundé – Pedri, Casado, López, Olmo, Raphinha – Lewandowski
Head-to-Head Matches: Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona
The teams have met twice: once in the UEFA Super Cup in 1998 and again in the Champions League 21 years later. Both encounters followed a similar pattern: a home win for Barcelona and a draw in Germany.
Free Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona
Barcelona is the clear favorite in this matchup, but both teams are known for being high-scoring. We recommend betting on "total over 3.0 goals" (odds – 1.71).
Place your bets and keep an eye on the performance of both teams in the Champions League standings!