Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction and Betting Tips on March 28, 2025
Game Prediction
Bodrum FK will host Fenerbahçe at the Grey Beton Bodrum Stadium on March 28, 2025, in the Turkish Super Lig at 17:30 UTC. The home side is riding a wave of confidence after an impressive eight-game unbeaten streak, while José Mourinho’s Fenerbahçe are determined to keep their title hopes alive against a resilient Bodrum outfit.
Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Key Stats & Trends
- Bodrum FK are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (4W, 1D).
- The hosts average 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game.
- Bodrum have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 8 matches across all competitions.
- Fenerbahçe have won 3 of their last 5 games.
- The visitors score 2.4 goals and concede 0.4 on average per game.
- Fenerbahçe won 60% of their last 5 games, with 2 draws.
Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Recent Form
Bodrum FK have turned their season around with a remarkable run of form. Sitting 15th in the Super Lig table with 30 points from 27 games, they are three points clear of the relegation zone. Their latest 2-0 victory over Çaykur Rizespor before the international break showcased their defensive solidity and growing confidence. Under manager José Morais, Bodrum have lost just once in their last seven home games, making them a tough proposition at the Grey Beton Bodrum Stadium.
Fenerbahçe, meanwhile, are in the hunt for the Super Lig title, occupying second place with 62 points from 27 games, nine points behind leaders Galatasaray, but with a game in hand. José Mourinho’s side were held to a frustrating 0-0 draw against Samsunspor in their last league outing, a result that followed consecutive Europa League defeats. With a Turkish Cup quarter-final looming, Fenerbahçe need a win here to maintain pressure on the league leaders and boost morale.
Form
- Bodrum FK: W-W-D-W-W
- Fenerbahçe: W-W-L-W-D
Injury & Team News
Bodrum FK will likely be without long-term absentees Mustafa Erdilman (cruciate ligament injury) and Haqi Osman (hamstring), while doubts remain over Suleyman Ozdamar and Pedro Brazao. However, the return of George Puscas, who has scored 7 goals this season, bolsters their attack after his recent contribution.
Fenerbahçe will welcome the return of Youssef En-Nesyri, their top scorer with 22 goals, who has been in scintillating form, after the international break. José Mourinho may also welcome back midfielder Ismail Yuksek (thigh injury) if he recovers in time, though goalkeeper Irfan Can Egribayat remains sidelined with a muscle injury. The Yellow Canaries’ depth and quality give them an edge despite a busy schedule.
Predicted Line-ups
- Bodrum FK possible line-up: Sousa, Bilsel, Celustka, Ajeti, Ergun, Mohammed, Antalyali, Fredy, Bayrakdar, Puscas, Okita
- Fenerbahçe possible line-up: Livakovic, Muldur, Djiku, Becao, Akaydin, Amrabat, Fred, Szymanski, Tadic, Kostic, En-Nesyri
Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Despite Bodrum’s recent resurgence, Fenerbahçe are favored by bookmakers with a 54% win probability and odds of 1.52. A draw is priced at 4.38 (22% chance), while a Bodrum FK upset carries odds of 7.1 (14% chance). Fenerbahçe’s superior squad and title aspirations tilt the scales in their favor.
Correct Score Prediction: Bodrum FK 0-2 Fenerbahçe
Given Bodrum’s defensive resilience and Fenerbahçe’s attacking prowess, a 0-2 scoreline seems plausible. Bodrum have struggled to score against top teams, while Fenerbahçe’s ability to keep clean sheets (12 this season) and En-Nesyri’s goal-scoring form suggest they’ll secure a comfortable win.
Players to Watch: Puscas – En-Nesyri
George Puscas is Bodrum FK’s hitman this season, with 7 goals in 26 league appearances. The Romanian striker’s physicality and finishing could test Fenerbahçe’s backline, especially if given space to operate.
Youssef En-Nesyri, Fenerbahçe’s Moroccan star, is the player to watch for the visitors. With 16 goals and 4 assists in 25 appearances this season, he’s in contention for the Golden Boot and will look to exploit Bodrum’s defense with his aerial ability and clinical finishing.
Expert Tip: Fenerbahçe to Win & Under 2.5 Goals
Fenerbahçe’s quality should shine through, but Bodrum’s recent defensive record suggests this won’t be a high-scoring affair. Betting on Fenerbahçe to win with under 2.5 goals offers value at odds around 1.84, reflecting the hosts’ low scoring rate and the visitors’ knack for controlled victories.
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