Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys prediction and betting tips on January 25, 2025

Game Prediction

On January 25, the women’s final of the Australian Open will take place, with Aryna Sabalenka facing Madison Keys. Our experts have prepared a prediction for this highly anticipated clash.
Aryna Sabalenka
The world No. 1 has reached the final without any major surprises, and at no point did her place in the tournament seem at risk. Her toughest challenge came against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, but Sabalenka managed to step up when it mattered, winning the decisive third set. In the semifinals, she easily defeated her friend Paula Badosa 6:4, 6:2, jokingly promising to pay for anything the Spaniard wants on their next shopping trip.
Sabalenka is defending her title here and is on the verge of claiming her third consecutive Australian Open trophy. Compared to facing Swiatek, Keys represents a more favorable matchup for the Belarusian, and she’ll be looking to capitalize on this.
Madison Keys
Few expected to see the American in the final, though it isn’t an extraordinary surprise. Keys is an experienced player at 29 years old, currently ranked 14th in the world.
During this tournament, Keys defeated notable opponents such as Elena Rybakina, Elina Svitolina, and most impressively, Iga Swiatek. Her toughest match was against the powerful Pole. After losing the first set 7:6 in a tightly contested tiebreak, Keys bounced back to dominate the second set 6:1. The third set was a grueling battle. At 5:5, Keys lost her serve but managed to immediately break back, even saving a match point. The set culminated in a tiebreak, where Keys ultimately prevailed.
Match Facts
- Sabalenka has played 11 matches this season and won all of them.
- Keys has won 13 of her 14 matches this season.
- Bookmakers’ odds for the match are: Sabalenka win (P1) – 1.31, Keys win (P2) – 3.65.
Head-to-Head
The players have faced each other five times, with Sabalenka winning four of those encounters. Their most recent meeting was last year, where Sabalenka triumphed 6:3, 6:4.
Match Prediction
Sabalenka enters this match as the favorite, though the final promises to be an intense battle. Small details, such as how well-rested the players are, could make a difference. Our prediction is a victory for the Belarusian with a -4 game handicap.
