America MG vs Athletic Club prediction and betting tips on July 8, 2025
Serie B Brazil
Game Prediction
The penultimate match of Matchday 15 of Serie B Brazil pits America MG against Athletic Club. The 10th-placed home side are fighting for the top 4. The visitors are last in the standings and need to save themselves very quickly.
America MG vs Athletic Club key stats and trends
- 2 of the previous 3 encounters ended in draws, with 1 win for America MG
- The previous 3 never offered more than 2 goals
- America MG has lost just once at home this season, including 4 wins and 2 draws
- America MG scores and concedes +1 goal on average
- Athletic Club has lost 60% of its last 10 matches
- Athletic Club concedes 1.6 goals and scores 1 on average
America MG vs Athletic Club recent form
In 2011, after a ten-year absence, America MG returned to Serie A. During this period it moved from Serie C to Serie A. However, it was immediately relegated; since the 2018 season, America Mineiro has celebrated its return to Serie A, but once again will only stay there for one season. In 2020 the club was runner-up in Serie B and on its return to Serie A 2021 it qualified for the Copa Libertadores for the first time. In 2023 Coelhotermine finished last in the top flight and was demoted for the umpteenth time. Last year they finished 8th in Serie B. 2025 got off to a similar start. After 14 matchdays, America Mineiro are 10th in the Serie B Brazil table with 20 points. They are 4 points off the top 4. From the outset, their results have been somewhat inconsistent. There have been 6 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws. The club based in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, has won 4 of its 6 matches this season at home. Under these conditions, they have lost just once in 7 matches.
In the space of just 3 years, Athletic Club made a meteoric rise in Brazilian soccer. In 2023, in Serie D, the club finished top of its group and reached the semi-finals, securing promotion. In 2024, in Serie C, Brazil's third division, Athletic finished runners-up, again earning promotion. In 2025, they moved up to Serie B, having climbed from the fourth to the second division in three years. However, they got off to a rocky start. Last in the standings after 14 games, the club based in the city of São João del-Rei, in the state of Minas Gerais, boasts some worrying statistics: 10 defeats and 4 wins, 13 goals scored against 23 conceded. They have the worst defence in the league. Prior to last week's 1-2 loss to Remo, Athletic Club had won their previous two matches against Operario Ferroviario 2-1 and the same scoreline against then leaders Goias.
Form
- America MG: L L W D W
- Athletic Club: L L W W L
Predicted line-ups
- America MG probable line-up: Mendes, Marlon-Lucao-Silva-Mariano , Miguelito-Barros-Amaral-Miqueas-Bigode, Figueiredo
- Athletic Club probable line-up: Adriel, Douglas-Marcelo-Jhonathan-Gelado, Sandry-Martinez, Braga-Amorim-Max, Costa
America MG vs Athletic Club pre-game odds and win probability
America MG is 58% favorite for the match, valued at 1.62. The next probability is a draw: 25% valued at 3.74. The of Athletic Club is expected at 17% priced at 5.67.
Correct score prediction: America MG 2-0 Athletic Club
America MG has an average attack. The visitors have a very fragile defense. Because they will be in enemy territory, we see them losing 2-0
Expert tip: America MG to win
The home side has the means to win this match. They are performing well at home and are on a 3-match unbeaten run, including 2 wins. Home team to win: odds are 58% and 1.62.
Learn more about your teams on the Serie B Brazil table and place your bet on the upcoming match.
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