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Luxembourg vs Malta prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on March 31, 2026 Match

The hosts could win again
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 29 Mar 2026, 05:23
Luxembourg vs Malta match prediction on Mar 31, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.74 3.84 5.12
56% 25% 19%
13 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League D
Date & kick-off time 31 mar 2026, 12:00

In the play-off for a place in League C of the Nations League, the return leg between the national teams of Luxembourg and Malta will take place on March 31, 2026. The visitors need a resounding win.

Luxembourg vs Malta: Team News and Expert Analysis

Luxembourg's form has declined significantly lately. Once considered a solid mid-table team, they managed just three points and finished last in their Nations League group with Northern Ireland, Bulgaria, and Belarus last season. Even after a coaching change, things only got worse: defeats to Germany, Slovakia, and again Northern Ireland followed.

Malta, on the other hand, has never been highly rated. Even after reaching the weakest division of the Nations League, they finished second, a few points behind Moldova, and dropped points against Andorra. But in the World Cup qualifiers, they did manage to finish ahead of Lithuania, earning five points compared to the Baltic side's three.

In the first leg, the score remained goalless until halftime. Early in the second half, Thill broke the deadlock for the visitors, and late on Olesen made the aggregate almost a foregone conclusion for the hosts.

Previous Meetings: Luxembourg vs Malta

Prior to this tie, Luxembourg won three out of six encounters, losing twice.

Clearly, the outcome of this pair is already decided. But thanks to class and confidence, the hosts are expected to win again (odds – 1.65).

Luxembourg vs Malta: Key Stats and Trends

  • Luxembourg have lost eight of their last ten matches
  • On average, Luxembourg score 0.4 goals and concede 1.7 goals per match
  • 20% of Luxembourg’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.1
  • Malta have lost four of their last seven matches
  • On average, Malta score 0.8 goals and concede 2.5 goals per match
  • 40% of Malta’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 3.3.

Luxembourg vs Malta: Probable Starting Lineups

Luxembourg play a 1-4-1-4-1 system (probable lineup): Moris – Bonert, Carlson, Korac, Jans – Olesen – Dardari, Barreiro, Martins Pereira, Thill – Sinani

Malta play a 1-4-2-3-1 system (probable lineup): Bonello – Pepe, Shaw, Camenzuli, Muscat – Satariano, Guillaumier – Shouaref, Teuma, Mbong – Cardona

Bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the play-off standings for a place in League C of the Nations League

Our Pick
Game Prediction Luxembourg to Win
1.65
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 50
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.74
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 49
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 158 / 314
Active tips 26
Form
Reviews 0
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Luxembourg to Win
1.65